Brazil Predictions revisited.

This GP weekend, I tried to predict the outcome of the Brazilian Grand Prix. Some results where obvious, Red Bull at the front, Caterham and Marussia at the back. But in the middle we generally get a very competitive field, so below is the table comparing the results with the predictions.

Position

Predicted finish

Actual finish

Difference

1st

Sebastian Vettel

Sebastian Vettel

0

2nd

Mark Webber

Mark Webber

0

3rd

Fernando Alonso

Fernando Alonso

0

4th

Lewis Hamilton

Jenson Button

5

5th

Nico Rosberg

Nico Rosberg

0

6th

Felipe Massa

Sergio Perez

1

7th

Jenson Button

Felipe Massa

3

8th

Nico Hulkenberg

Nico Hulkenberg

0

9th

Sergio Perez

Lewis Hamilton

3

10th

Paul di Resta

Daniel Ricciardo

1

11th

Adrian Sutil

Paul di Resta

2

12th

Esteban Gutierrez

Esteban Gutierrez

0

13th

Heikki Kovalainen

Adrian Sutil

1

14th

Jean-Eric Vergne

Heikki Kovalainen

1

15th

Daniel Ricciardo

Jean-Eric Vergne

5

16th

Pastor Maldonado

Pastor Maldonado

0

17th

Giedo van der Garde

Jules Bianchi

1

18th

Jules Bianchi

Giedo van der Garde

1

19th

Max Chilton

Max Chilton

0

As we can see, I have removed non-finishers from both predictions list, but I think that it’s a solid job for a first attempt. The average difference between my predictions and the actual result was 1.26, and that was slightly skewed by penalties to Lewis Hamilton and Felipe Massa. 8/19 predictions were spot on, I shall try again next season, but I think that’s a solid earyl effort.

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